FrancevsSenegal
Group Stage

MetLife Stadium

Match Preview

France takes on Senegal in the Group I at MetLife Stadium. France and Senegal bring contrasting approaches that should make for an intriguing tactical contest. This Group I fixture carries significant weight — the top two teams from each group advance automatically, while the eight best third-place finishers across all twelve groups also progress to the knockout stage. The outcome remains open based on available metrics, adding further intrigue to this World Cup encounter.

Most Likely Outcome

France Win

52% probability

Win Probability

France
Draw
Senegal
52%
23%
25%

Top Predicted Scorelines

FranceSenegal
1
11
11%
2
21
10%
3
10
9%

Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.

Learn how we make predictions →

Key Factors

ELO Rating
France 2000 vs Senegal 1750
Expected Goals
1.8059 - 1.1648
Attack Strength
1.35 vs 1.12
Defense Strength
0.8 vs 0.98
Most Likely Score
1-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group I standings and results

View standings, results, and all matches in Group I

Other matches in Group I

Iraq vs Norway
France vs Iraq
Norway vs Senegal
Senegal vs Iraq
Norway vs France