NetherlandsvsSweden
Group Stage

NRG Stadium

Match Preview

Netherlands takes on Sweden in the Group F at NRG Stadium. Netherlands and Sweden bring contrasting approaches that should make for an intriguing tactical contest. This Group F fixture carries significant weight — the top two teams from each group advance automatically, while the eight best third-place finishers across all twelve groups also progress to the knockout stage. The outcome remains open based on available metrics, adding further intrigue to this World Cup encounter.

Most Likely Outcome

Netherlands Win

49% probability

Win Probability

Netherlands
Draw
Sweden
49%
25%
26%

Top Predicted Scorelines

NetherlandsSweden
1
11
12%
2
10
11%
3
21
9%

Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.

Learn how we make predictions →

Key Factors

ELO Rating
Netherlands 1910 vs Sweden 1690
Expected Goals
1.582 - 1.0956
Attack Strength
1.22 vs 0.98
Defense Strength
0.86 vs 0.95
Most Likely Score
1-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group F standings and results

View standings, results, and all matches in Group F

Other matches in Group F

Netherlands vs Japan
Sweden vs Tunisia
Tunisia vs Japan
Japan vs Sweden
Tunisia vs Netherlands