DR CongovsUzbekistan
Group Stage
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Match Preview
This Group K contest sees DR Congo paired against Uzbekistan at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. DR Congo will aim to establish early control, while Uzbekistan looks to use pace and directness to disrupt their rhythm. In Group K, every point matters — even a third-place finish can secure a place in the Round of 32 if the record is strong enough relative to the other groups. Neither team can be counted out based on the current information, making this one of the more unpredictable fixtures.
Most Likely Outcome
DR Congo Win
37% probability
Win Probability
DR Congo
Draw
Uzbekistan
37%
28%
35%
Top Predicted Scorelines
DR CongoUzbekistan
1
1 – 1
13%
2
1 – 0
11%
3
0 – 1
11%
Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.
Learn how we make predictions →Key Factors
ELO Rating
DR Congo 1500 vs Uzbekistan 1490
Expected Goals
1.2012 - 1.1658
Attack Strength
0.8 vs 0.76
Defense Strength
1.18 vs 1.1
Most Likely Score
1-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group K standings and results
View standings, results, and all matches in Group K
Other matches in Group K
Portugal vs DR Congo
Uzbekistan vs Colombia
Portugal vs Uzbekistan
Colombia vs DR Congo
Colombia vs Portugal