PortugalvsUzbekistan
Group Stage

NRG Stadium

Match Preview

Portugal takes on Uzbekistan in the Group K at NRG Stadium. Portugal and Uzbekistan bring contrasting approaches that should make for an intriguing tactical contest. This Group K fixture carries significant weight — the top two teams from each group advance automatically, while the eight best third-place finishers across all twelve groups also progress to the knockout stage. The outcome remains open based on available metrics, adding further intrigue to this World Cup encounter.

Most Likely Outcome

Portugal Win

63% probability

Win Probability

Portugal
Draw
Uzbekistan
63%
21%
16%

Top Predicted Scorelines

PortugalUzbekistan
1
10
12%
2
20
12%
3
11
10%

Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.

Learn how we make predictions →

Key Factors

ELO Rating
Portugal 1930 vs Uzbekistan 1490
Expected Goals
1.9219 - 0.8299
Attack Strength
1.28 vs 0.76
Defense Strength
0.84 vs 1.1
Most Likely Score
1-0
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group K standings and results

View standings, results, and all matches in Group K

Other matches in Group K

Portugal vs DR Congo
Uzbekistan vs Colombia
Colombia vs DR Congo
Colombia vs Portugal
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan