EcuadorvsCuracao
Group Stage

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Match Preview

This Group E contest sees Ecuador paired against Curacao at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Ecuador will aim to establish early control, while Curacao looks to use pace and directness to disrupt their rhythm. In Group E, every point matters — even a third-place finish can secure a place in the Round of 32 if the record is strong enough relative to the other groups. Neither team can be counted out based on the current information, making this one of the more unpredictable fixtures.

Most Likely Outcome

Ecuador Win

57% probability

Win Probability

Ecuador
Draw
Curacao
57%
24%
19%

Top Predicted Scorelines

EcuadorCuracao
1
10
13%
2
11
11%
3
20
11%

Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.

Learn how we make predictions →

Key Factors

ELO Rating
Ecuador 1710 vs Curacao 1420
Expected Goals
1.6986 - 0.884
Attack Strength
1.02 vs 0.68
Defense Strength
1 vs 1.22
Most Likely Score
1-0
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group E standings and results

View standings, results, and all matches in Group E

Other matches in Group E

Germany vs Curacao
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Germany vs Ivory Coast
Ecuador vs Germany
Curacao vs Ivory Coast