EcuadorvsGermany
Group Stage
MetLife Stadium
Match Preview
This Group E contest sees Ecuador paired against Germany at MetLife Stadium. Ecuador will aim to establish early control, while Germany looks to use pace and directness to disrupt their rhythm. In Group E, every point matters — even a third-place finish can secure a place in the Round of 32 if the record is strong enough relative to the other groups. Neither team can be counted out based on the current information, making this one of the more unpredictable fixtures.
Most Likely Outcome
Germany Win
47% probability
Win Probability
Ecuador
Draw
Germany
29%
24%
47%
Top Predicted Scorelines
EcuadorGermany
1
1 – 1
12%
2
0 – 1
9%
3
1 – 2
9%
Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.
Learn how we make predictions →Key Factors
ELO Rating
Ecuador 1710 vs Germany 1950
Expected Goals
1.2252 - 1.625
Attack Strength
1.02 vs 1.25
Defense Strength
1 vs 0.88
Most Likely Score
1-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group E standings and results
View standings, results, and all matches in Group E
Other matches in Group E
Germany vs Curacao
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Germany vs Ivory Coast
Ecuador vs Curacao
Curacao vs Ivory Coast