IranvsNew Zealand
Group Stage

SoFi Stadium

Match Preview

This Group G contest sees Iran paired against New Zealand at SoFi Stadium. Iran will aim to establish early control, while New Zealand looks to use pace and directness to disrupt their rhythm. In Group G, every point matters — even a third-place finish can secure a place in the Round of 32 if the record is strong enough relative to the other groups. Neither team can be counted out based on the current information, making this one of the more unpredictable fixtures.

Most Likely Outcome

Iran Win

48% probability

Win Probability

Iran
Draw
New Zealand
48%
28%
24%

Top Predicted Scorelines

IranNew Zealand
1
10
14%
2
11
13%
3
00
10%

Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.

Learn how we make predictions →

Key Factors

ELO Rating
Iran 1630 vs New Zealand 1460
Expected Goals
1.3691 - 0.8892
Attack Strength
0.85 vs 0.72
Defense Strength
0.95 vs 1.18
Most Likely Score
1-0
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group G standings and results

View standings, results, and all matches in Group G

Other matches in Group G

Belgium vs Egypt
Belgium vs Iran
New Zealand vs Egypt
Egypt vs Iran
New Zealand vs Belgium