New ZealandvsBelgium
Group Stage
BC Place
Match Preview
This Group G contest sees New Zealand paired against Belgium at BC Place. New Zealand will aim to establish early control, while Belgium looks to use pace and directness to disrupt their rhythm. In Group G, every point matters — even a third-place finish can secure a place in the Round of 32 if the record is strong enough relative to the other groups. Neither team can be counted out based on the current information, making this one of the more unpredictable fixtures.
Most Likely Outcome
Belgium Win
60% probability
Win Probability
New Zealand
Draw
Belgium
18%
22%
60%
Top Predicted Scorelines
New ZealandBelgium
1
0 – 1
12%
2
0 – 2
11%
3
1 – 1
11%
Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.
Learn how we make predictions →Key Factors
ELO Rating
New Zealand 1460 vs Belgium 1900
Expected Goals
0.8845 - 1.8408
Attack Strength
0.72 vs 1.2
Defense Strength
1.18 vs 0.9
Most Likely Score
0-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group G standings and results
View standings, results, and all matches in Group G
Other matches in Group G
Belgium vs Egypt
Iran vs New Zealand
Belgium vs Iran
New Zealand vs Egypt
Egypt vs Iran