SpainvsCape Verde Islands
Group Stage
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Match Preview
Spain takes on Cape Verde Islands in the Group H at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Spain and Cape Verde Islands bring contrasting approaches that should make for an intriguing tactical contest. This Group H fixture carries significant weight — the top two teams from each group advance automatically, while the eight best third-place finishers across all twelve groups also progress to the knockout stage. The outcome remains open based on available metrics, adding further intrigue to this World Cup encounter.
Most Likely Outcome
Spain Win
70% probability
Win Probability
Spain
Draw
Cape Verde Islands
70%
19%
12%
Top Predicted Scorelines
SpainCape Verde Islands
1
2 – 0
13%
2
1 – 0
12%
3
2 – 1
10%
Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.
Learn how we make predictions →Key Factors
ELO Rating
Spain 1940 vs Cape Verde Islands 1440
Expected Goals
2.1622 - 0.7462
Attack Strength
1.32 vs 0.7
Defense Strength
0.82 vs 1.2
Most Likely Score
2-0
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group H standings and results
View standings, results, and all matches in Group H
Other matches in Group H
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay
Spain vs Saudi Arabia
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands
Uruguay vs Spain
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia