SpainvsSaudi Arabia
Group Stage
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Match Preview
This Group H contest sees Spain paired against Saudi Arabia at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Spain will aim to establish early control, while Saudi Arabia looks to use pace and directness to disrupt their rhythm. In Group H, every point matters — even a third-place finish can secure a place in the Round of 32 if the record is strong enough relative to the other groups. Neither team can be counted out based on the current information, making this one of the more unpredictable fixtures.
Most Likely Outcome
Spain Win
62% probability
Win Probability
Spain
Draw
Saudi Arabia
62%
21%
16%
Top Predicted Scorelines
SpainSaudi Arabia
1
1 – 0
12%
2
2 – 0
11%
3
1 – 1
10%
Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.
Learn how we make predictions →Key Factors
ELO Rating
Spain 1940 vs Saudi Arabia 1540
Expected Goals
1.9459 - 0.8741
Attack Strength
1.32 vs 0.82
Defense Strength
0.82 vs 1.08
Most Likely Score
1-0
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group H standings and results
View standings, results, and all matches in Group H
Other matches in Group H
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands
Uruguay vs Spain
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia