2026 World Cup Bracket Prediction

AI-predicted knockout stage from Round of 32 to the Final

How to read: Each matchup shows the two teams and the model's estimated win probability for each side. Bold names indicate the predicted winner. Percentages reflect the average outcome across all simulation runs.

Bracket matchups update as group stage results become available. These are statistical projections, not guaranteed outcomes.

Round of 32

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Round of 16

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Quarter-Finals

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Semi-Finals

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Final

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3rd Place

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What the Bracket Shows

Most Likely Finalists

Argentina (22%), Brazil (19%), France (18%), Germany (14%) are most likely to reach the final.

Semifinal Contenders

Teams most likely to reach the semifinals: Argentina (32%), Brazil (31%), France (27%), Germany (24%), England (16%), Switzerland (16%).

Note: Probabilities reflect simulation averages and will update as tournament matches are played.

How Bracket Predictions Work

Bracket predictions are based on Monte Carlo simulation of tournament outcomes. Each matchup probability reflects the likelihood of specific teams meeting at each stage, calculated from thousands of simulated tournaments.

Learn how predictions work →

Last updated: 2026-03-29T15:30:51.134Z