2026 World Cup Prediction

AI-powered knockout stage simulation for the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Top Contenders

Argentina#1
14.0%

Final 22% | SF 32%

Brazil#2
12.0%

Final 19% | SF 31%

France#3
11.0%

Final 18% | SF 27%

Germany#4
10.0%

Final 14% | SF 24%

England#5
5.0%

Final 11% | SF 16%

Bracket Preview

Round of 32

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Round of 16

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Quarter-Finals

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Semi-Finals

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Final

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3rd Place

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How We Generate Predictions

Our model uses Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000+ tournament runs. Team strength is derived from historical ELO ratings and recent form, while match outcomes follow a Poisson distribution calibrated on past World Cup data. All probabilities are statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Learn how our model works →

Explore by Team

ArgentinaBrazilFranceGermanyEnglandSenegalNetherlandsGhanaSouth AfricaCape Verde IslandsBelgiumScotland

Last updated: 2026-03-29T15:30:51.134Z | Model: mc-integrated-v1