AustraliavsTurkey
Group Stage
BC Place
Match Preview
Australia takes on Turkey in the Group D at BC Place. Australia and Turkey bring contrasting approaches that should make for an intriguing tactical contest. This Group D fixture carries significant weight — the top two teams from each group advance automatically, while the eight best third-place finishers across all twelve groups also progress to the knockout stage. The outcome remains open based on available metrics, adding further intrigue to this World Cup encounter.
Most Likely Outcome
Australia Win
38% probability
Win Probability
Australia
Draw
Turkey
38%
26%
36%
Top Predicted Scorelines
AustraliaTurkey
1
1 – 1
13%
2
1 – 0
10%
3
0 – 1
10%
Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.
Learn how we make predictions →Key Factors
ELO Rating
Australia 1720 vs Turkey 1700
Expected Goals
1.3104 - 1.274
Attack Strength
1 vs 1
Defense Strength
0.98 vs 0.96
Most Likely Score
1-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group D standings and results
View standings, results, and all matches in Group D
Other matches in Group D
United States vs Paraguay
Turkey vs Paraguay
United States vs Australia
Turkey vs United States
Paraguay vs Australia