United StatesvsAustralia
Group Stage
Lumen Field
Match Preview
United States and Australia meet in a Group D fixture at Lumen Field. The tactical battle could hinge on United States's ability to build from the back against Australia's pressing game. With Group D shaping up to be competitive, multiple paths to advancement exist: finish in the top two to qualify outright, or post a strong third-place record to stay in contention. With limited historical data available, this matchup is difficult to predict with certainty, though both teams will be eager to make their mark.
Most Likely Outcome
United States Win
44% probability
Win Probability
United States
Draw
Australia
44%
25%
31%
Top Predicted Scorelines
United StatesAustralia
1
1 – 1
12%
2
1 – 0
10%
3
2 – 1
9%
Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.
Learn how we make predictions →Key Factors
ELO Rating
United States 1840 vs Australia 1720
Expected Goals
1.5384 - 1.235
Attack Strength
1.15 vs 1
Defense Strength
0.95 vs 0.98
Most Likely Score
1-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group D standings and results
View standings, results, and all matches in Group D
Other matches in Group D
United States vs Paraguay
Australia vs Turkey
Turkey vs Paraguay
Turkey vs United States
Paraguay vs Australia