United StatesvsParaguay
Group Stage
SoFi Stadium
Match Preview
This Group D contest sees United States paired against Paraguay at SoFi Stadium. United States will aim to establish early control, while Paraguay looks to use pace and directness to disrupt their rhythm. In Group D, every point matters — even a third-place finish can secure a place in the Round of 32 if the record is strong enough relative to the other groups. Neither team can be counted out based on the current information, making this one of the more unpredictable fixtures.
Most Likely Outcome
United States Win
50% probability
Win Probability
United States
Draw
Paraguay
50%
24%
25%
Top Predicted Scorelines
United StatesParaguay
1
1 – 1
12%
2
1 – 0
11%
3
2 – 1
10%
Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.
Learn how we make predictions →Key Factors
ELO Rating
United States 1840 vs Paraguay 1640
Expected Goals
1.6482 - 1.0868
Attack Strength
1.15 vs 0.88
Defense Strength
0.95 vs 1.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group D standings and results
View standings, results, and all matches in Group D
Other matches in Group D
Australia vs Turkey
Turkey vs Paraguay
United States vs Australia
Turkey vs United States
Paraguay vs Australia