TurkeyvsParaguay
Group Stage

Match Preview

Turkey takes on Paraguay in the Group D. Turkey and Paraguay bring contrasting approaches that should make for an intriguing tactical contest. This Group D fixture carries significant weight — the top two teams from each group advance automatically, while the eight best third-place finishers across all twelve groups also progress to the knockout stage. The outcome remains open based on available metrics, adding further intrigue to this World Cup encounter.

Most Likely Outcome

Turkey Win

45% probability

Win Probability

Turkey
Draw
Paraguay
45%
26%
29%

Top Predicted Scorelines

TurkeyParaguay
1
11
13%
2
10
11%
3
21
9%

Prediction based on team ELO ratings (a team strength metric), historical performance, and Poisson distribution model.

Learn how we make predictions →

Key Factors

ELO Rating
Turkey 1700 vs Paraguay 1640
Expected Goals
1.4333 - 1.0982
Attack Strength
1 vs 0.88
Defense Strength
0.96 vs 1.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
Match Stage
GROUP_STAGE
Group D standings and results

View standings, results, and all matches in Group D

Other matches in Group D

United States vs Paraguay
Australia vs Turkey
United States vs Australia
Turkey vs United States
Paraguay vs Australia